Crash multiplier probability table
Use this table to see how often any target lands. The chance that a crash round reaches multiplier x is the RTP divided by x. At 97% RTP, 2x lands 48.5% of the time and 100x lands 0.97% of the time. It assumes the standard crash distribution used by most crash games (see How Crash Games Work).
Full table
| Target | 97% RTP | 1 in | 99% RTP | 1 in |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.10x | 88.18% | 1.13 | 90.00% | 1.11 |
| 1.20x | 80.83% | 1.24 | 82.50% | 1.21 |
| 1.50x | 64.67% | 1.55 | 66.00% | 1.52 |
| 2x | 48.50% | 2.06 | 49.50% | 2.02 |
| 3x | 32.33% | 3.09 | 33.00% | 3.03 |
| 5x | 19.40% | 5.15 | 19.80% | 5.05 |
| 10x | 9.70% | 10.3 | 9.90% | 10.1 |
| 20x | 4.85% | 20.6 | 4.95% | 20.2 |
| 50x | 1.94% | 51.5 | 1.98% | 50.5 |
| 100x | 0.970% | 103 | 0.990% | 101 |
| 500x | 0.194% | 515 | 0.198% | 505 |
| 1,000x | 0.097% | 1,031 | 0.099% | 1,010 |
Dry spells
The chance of no hit at target x across N rounds is (1 − p)^N:
| Target (97%) | None in 50 rounds | None in 100 | None in 300 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10x | 0.6% | 0.004% | ≈0% |
| 50x | 37.5% | 14.1% | 0.3% |
| 100x | 61.4% | 37.7% | 5.4% |
Use the calculator below for any other target, or read Chasing High Multipliers.
Auto cash out win chance calculator
- Win chance
- 48.5%
- Long-run return per $10.00 bet
- -$0.30
- Win rate needed to break even
- 50.0%
Common targets (3.0%)
| Target | Win chance | About 1 in | Long-run return per $10.00 bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.20x | 80.8% | 1.24 | -$0.30 |
| 1.50x | 64.7% | 1.55 | -$0.30 |
| 2.00x | 48.5% | 2.06 | -$0.30 |
| 3.00x | 32.3% | 3.09 | -$0.30 |
| 5.00x | 19.4% | 5.15 | -$0.30 |
| 10.00x | 9.70% | 10 | -$0.30 |
| 100x | 0.97% | 103 | -$0.30 |
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds of hitting 2x in a crash game?
About 48.5% at 97% RTP and 49.5% at 99% RTP.
What are the odds of 1,000x?
About 0.097% per round at 97% RTP, roughly 1 in 1,031.
By Daniel Foster · Crash Game Maths & Mechanics Analyst
Daniel focuses on the mathematics and mechanics behind crash games. His reviews examine RTP disclosures, volatility, multipliers, game mechanics and the mathematical principles behind different crash titles.
Published · Updated
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