How to predict a pink candle in Aviator
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You can’t predict a pink candle in Aviator, but you can catch one: a pink candle is any round that reaches 10x or more, it happens in about 9.7% of rounds, and the way to get paid is a small bet on auto cash out at 10x every round. Pinks arrive at random, roughly one in ten on average, with no schedule and no warning. Tricks that promise to spot the next one (counting rounds, watching for blue streaks, “vela rosa” signals) can’t see the seed that decides the round. Here are the real odds and the smart way to hunt. Part of our crash game strategy guide.
The real pink candle odds
At 97% RTP:
| Colour in history | Multiplier | Share of rounds |
|---|---|---|
| Blue | under 2x | 51.5% |
| Purple | 2x to 10x | 38.8% |
| Pink | 10x and up | 9.7% |
Why you can’t time a pink
The crash point comes from a server seed that’s hashed and locked before betting closes, plus player seeds. No round knows what came before it, so 20 blue rounds in a row don’t make a pink “due”. Gaps are long and common:
| Gap without a pink | Chance of that exact run | Shows up in 100 rounds |
|---|---|---|
| 20+ rounds | 13.0% | 79.4% |
| 30+ rounds | 4.7% | 34.0% |
| 40+ rounds | 1.7% | 11.4% |
More on why streaks fool us in Aviator patterns and what happens after a low round.
How to catch pinks
Don’t time them; be there every round. Run $10 at 1.5x on panel 1 and $2 at 10x on panel 2. Panel 1 keeps you ticking over; panel 2 pays $20 whenever a pink lands. Our 10,000-session test of that split from $500 finished at a median $465, with the best 10% at $595+. Settings in the safe bet, risky bet split, and the pure version in our 10x strategy.
Pink candle scams
Apps, bots and Telegram groups selling “pink candle signals” can only guess, and many steal logins or fees. Read do Aviator signals work? and crash predictor apps debunked.
Play Aviator
Read our Aviator review and test the pink-hunting split in the simulator below. Then hunt pinks at a partner casino.
Pro tip: when a pink lands on your small bet, don’t raise the stake to “ride the hot streak”. There isn’t one.
Strategy simulator
- Median final bankroll
- Unlucky (10th percentile)
- Lucky (90th percentile)
- Chance of going bust
- Median max drawdown
- Average rounds played
Example: 1000 sessions of 100 rounds, bankroll $500, base bet $10, target 2x, 3% edge
| Strategy | Median final bankroll | Unlucky (10th percentile) | Lucky (90th percentile) | Chance of going bust |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fixed bet | $480 | $360 | $600 | 0.0% |
Run it a few times with different settings to find the approach that fits your bankroll and playing style.
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Frequently asked questions
What is a pink candle in Aviator?
A round that reaches 10x or more. Aviator’s history bar shows these in pink, 2x–10x in purple and under 2x in blue.
Can you predict a pink candle?
No. Each round’s crash point is fixed by a provably fair seed before take-off and doesn’t depend on earlier rounds.
How often do pink candles appear?
About 9.7% of rounds, roughly one in ten on average, at random.
How long can I wait for a pink?
Twenty rounds without one happens about 13% of the time; in any 100 rounds there’s about a 79% chance of at least one gap of 20+ rounds.
What is the best way to catch a pink candle?
Put a small bet on auto cash out at 10x every round, ideally next to a safe main bet, and give it enough rounds.
Do pink candle apps or signals work?
No. They can’t see the server seed. They’re scams.
By Daniel Foster · Crash Game Maths & Mechanics Analyst
Daniel focuses on the mathematics and mechanics behind crash games. His reviews examine RTP disclosures, volatility, multipliers, game mechanics and the mathematical principles behind different crash titles.
Fact-checked by Alex Morgan
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