Martingale vs D'Alembert in crash games

By · Last updated October 31, 2026

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On this page
  1. The rules side by side
  2. Simulator results
  3. Playing betting systems in the Philippines
  4. Which should you pick?

Martingale vs D’Alembert: Martingale doubles your stake after every loss, while D’Alembert climbs in smaller steps. Martingale recovers a losing run with one win but needs deep pockets; D’Alembert recovers more slowly and keeps stakes lower. Neither changes your win chance at 2x (48.5%). Here is how they compare in a crash game, with ₱50 units. Part of our crash game strategy guide.

The rules side by side

Martingale D’Alembert
After a loss Double the stake Add one unit
After a win Back to one unit Remove one unit
Four losses in a row ₱50, ₱100, ₱200, ₱400 ₱50, ₱100, ₱150, ₱200

D’Alembert example: ₱50 loses → ₱100 loses → ₱150 wins → ₱100 wins → ₱50. Full details in the Martingale strategy guide and the D’Alembert strategy guide.

Simulator results

Both at a 2x auto cash out, ₱2,500 budget, 100 rounds, 1,000 sessions:

System Typical end Middle 80% Ran out
Martingale ₱2,300 ₱0–₱5,100 46.5%
D’Alembert ₱1,550 ₱0–₱5,050 44.9%

Martingale gives more sessions a small win but more sessions a full stop. D’Alembert runs out less often. Test both in the crash strategy simulator.

Playing betting systems in the Philippines

Filipino players can run this plan at any casino that offers the game, because the maths is identical everywhere. Keep stakes in round pesos such as ₱20, ₱50 or ₱100 so tracking is easy, play on a stable connection, and let auto cash out take your target without a tap. See our Aviator Philippines guide and the best crash games in the Philippines.

Which should you pick?

  • Pick Martingale if you want quick recoveries and keep the base stake tiny.
  • Pick D’Alembert if you prefer slower, smaller steps.
  • Pick neither if you want the calmest ride: flat bets with a fixed auto cash out.

Our best betting system for crash games ranks every option. Try your pick on the Aviator game at one of our partner casinos.

Pro tip: cap any progression at a stake you set in advance, then reset. It keeps a cold run from taking the whole session.

Strategy simulator

Example: 1000 sessions of 100 rounds, bankroll ₱2,500, base bet ₱50, target 2x, 3% edge

StrategyMedian final bankrollUnlucky (10th percentile)Lucky (90th percentile)Chance of going bust
D'Alembert₱1,550₱0₱5,05044.9%
Fixed bet₱2,400₱1,800₱3,0000.0%

Run it a few times with different settings to find the approach that fits your bankroll and playing style.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Martingale or D'Alembert better for crash games?

D'Alembert uses smaller steps and in our simulation ran out of budget in 44.9% of sessions against 46.5% for Martingale. Martingale recovers faster.

What is the difference between Martingale and D'Alembert?

Martingale doubles after a loss; D'Alembert: raise your stake by one unit after a loss and lower it by one unit after a win (never below one unit).

Which system wins more often?

Both use the same 2x win chance per round. They differ in how stakes move, not in how often you win.

Can I use these systems in Aviator?

Yes, with auto cash out at 2x and manual stake changes or an auto bet script where available.

What budget do I need?

At least 50 units, for example ₱2,500 with a ₱50 unit; Martingale needs the most.

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Daniel Foster

By · Crash Game Maths & Mechanics Analyst

Daniel focuses on the mathematics and mechanics behind crash games. His reviews examine RTP disclosures, volatility, multipliers, game mechanics and the mathematical principles behind different crash titles.

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