Martingale vs Fibonacci: which wins in crash games?

By · Last updated 31 October 2026

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On this page
  1. Martingale vs Fibonacci: the rules
  2. How fast the stakes climb
  3. Simulator results side by side
  4. Which one should you pick?
  5. Play it on Aviator in South Africa

Martingale vs Fibonacci: Fibonacci wins on the typical session, Fibonacci busts less often. Martingale says double your stake after every loss and go back to one unit after a win; Fibonacci says follow the sequence 1-1-2-3-5-8-13: move one step up after a loss and two steps back after a win. In our 1,000-session test at 2x auto cash out with R50 units and a R2,500 bankroll, Martingale finished on a median of R2,300 (46.5% busts) and Fibonacci on R3,150 (31.5% busts). Here is the full comparison for South African players. Both are part of our crash game strategy guide.

Martingale vs Fibonacci: the rules

  • Martingale: double your stake after every loss and go back to one unit after a win.
  • Fibonacci: follow the sequence 1-1-2-3-5-8-13: move one step up after a loss and two steps back after a win.

Both are negative progressions: they raise the stake after losses to win it back. The difference is how fast the stake grows.

How fast the stakes climb

After a run of losses at 2x, your next stake is:

Losses in a row Martingale next stake Fibonacci next stake
3 R400 R150
5 R1,600 R400
7 R6,400 R1,050

That growth rate decides everything. Our Martingale strategy crash guide explains why doubling recovers fastest and why it needs the deepest bankroll.

Simulator results side by side

System (2x, R2,500 bankroll) Median finish Top 10% finish Coldest 10% Bust rate
Martingale R2,300 R5,100 R0 46.5%
Fibonacci R3,150 R3,700 R0 31.5%

Run both yourself with the simulator below, or practise in our free crash game. For the gentler sequence on its own, see Fibonacci strategy.

Which one should you pick?

  • Pick Fibonacci if you want the stronger typical session.
  • Pick Fibonacci if surviving 100 rounds matters most.
  • Pick neither if you want zero bust risk: flat betting strategy kept every test session alive.

The best betting system for crash games guide ranks every system we tested.

Play it on Aviator in South Africa

Both systems run on Hollywoodbets Aviator with a 2x auto cash out. Fund with Ozow instant EFT, 1Voucher or OTT Voucher and see our Hollywoodbets Aviator guide for the buttons. Want to play crash games with big-multiplier crypto originals and fast payouts? Compare the best crash game casinos in South Africa, or jump straight into Shuffle Crash.

Pro tip: whichever system you choose, write the stake sequence on paper before you start so you never improvise mid-run.

Strategy simulator

Example: 1000 sessions of 100 rounds, bankroll R 2 500, base bet R 50, target 2x, 3% edge

StrategyMedian final bankrollUnlucky (10th percentile)Lucky (90th percentile)Chance of going bust
FibonacciR 3 150R 0R 3 70031,5%
Fixed betR 2 400R 1 800R 3 0000,0%

Run it a few times with different settings to find the approach that fits your bankroll and playing style.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Martingale better than Fibonacci?

In our 2x test Martingale had a median of R2,300 and Fibonacci R3,150; Fibonacci busted less often.

Which is safer, Martingale or Fibonacci?

Fibonacci: 31.5% busts against 46.5% over 100 rounds.

Can I use Martingale and Fibonacci in Aviator?

Yes. Both work with a 2x auto cash out; you change the stake between rounds.

Does any betting system beat the RTP?

No. Systems change the shape of your results, not the 97% RTP.

What bankroll do I need?

At least 50 units, for example R2,500 with R50 units.

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Daniel Foster

By · Crash Game Maths & Mechanics Analyst

Daniel focuses on the mathematics and mechanics behind crash games. His reviews examine RTP disclosures, volatility, multipliers, game mechanics and the mathematical principles behind different crash titles.

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