Crash multiplier probability table
Use this table to see how often any target lands. The chance that a crash round reaches multiplier x is the RTP divided by x. At 97% RTP, 2x lands 48.5% of the time and 100x lands 0.97% of the time. It assumes the standard crash distribution used by most crash games (see How Crash Games Work).
For players in Kenya: examples on this page are in shillings. A KSh 100 stake at 2x returns KSh 200, and the win chances are the same at every casino running the game.
Full table
| Target | 97% RTP | 1 in | 99% RTP | 1 in |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.10x | 88.18% | 1.13 | 90.00% | 1.11 |
| 1.20x | 80.83% | 1.24 | 82.50% | 1.21 |
| 1.50x | 64.67% | 1.55 | 66.00% | 1.52 |
| 2x | 48.50% | 2.06 | 49.50% | 2.02 |
| 3x | 32.33% | 3.09 | 33.00% | 3.03 |
| 5x | 19.40% | 5.15 | 19.80% | 5.05 |
| 10x | 9.70% | 10.3 | 9.90% | 10.1 |
| 20x | 4.85% | 20.6 | 4.95% | 20.2 |
| 50x | 1.94% | 51.5 | 1.98% | 50.5 |
| 100x | 0.970% | 103 | 0.990% | 101 |
| 500x | 0.194% | 515 | 0.198% | 505 |
| 1,000x | 0.097% | 1,031 | 0.099% | 1,010 |
Dry spells
The chance of no hit at target x across N rounds is (1 − p)^N:
| Target (97%) | None in 50 rounds | None in 100 | None in 300 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10x | 0.6% | 0.004% | ≈0% |
| 50x | 37.5% | 14.1% | 0.3% |
| 100x | 61.4% | 37.7% | 5.4% |
Use the calculator below for any other target, or read Chasing High Multipliers.
Want the full picture? Read how to win aviator and aviator game real or fake.
Auto cash out win chance calculator
- Win chance
- 48.5%
- Long-run return per Ksh 100.00 bet
- -Ksh 3.00
- Win rate needed to break even
- 50.0%
Common targets (3.0%)
| Target | Win chance | About 1 in | Long-run return per Ksh 100.00 bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.20x | 80.8% | 1.24 | -Ksh 3.00 |
| 1.50x | 64.7% | 1.55 | -Ksh 3.00 |
| 2.00x | 48.5% | 2.06 | -Ksh 3.00 |
| 3.00x | 32.3% | 3.09 | -Ksh 3.00 |
| 5.00x | 19.4% | 5.15 | -Ksh 3.00 |
| 10.00x | 9.70% | 10 | -Ksh 3.00 |
| 100x | 0.97% | 103 | -Ksh 3.00 |
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds of hitting 2x in a crash game?
About 48.5% at 97% RTP and 49.5% at 99% RTP.
What are the odds of 1,000x?
About 0.097% per round at 97% RTP, roughly 1 in 1,031.
By Daniel Foster · Crash Game Maths & Mechanics Analyst
Daniel focuses on the mathematics and mechanics behind crash games. His reviews examine RTP disclosures, volatility, multipliers, game mechanics and the mathematical principles behind different crash titles.
Published · Updated
Comments
No comments yet. Start the conversation.