Crash multiplier probability table
Use this table to see how often any target lands. The chance that a crash round reaches multiplier x is the RTP divided by x. At 97% RTP, 2x lands 48.5% of the time and 100x lands 0.97% of the time. It assumes the standard crash distribution used by most crash games (see How Crash Games Work).
For South African players: examples on this page are in rand. A R50 stake at 2x returns R100, and the win chances are the same at every casino running the game.
Full table
| Target | 97% RTP | 1 in | 99% RTP | 1 in |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.10x | 88.18% | 1.13 | 90.00% | 1.11 |
| 1.20x | 80.83% | 1.24 | 82.50% | 1.21 |
| 1.50x | 64.67% | 1.55 | 66.00% | 1.52 |
| 2x | 48.50% | 2.06 | 49.50% | 2.02 |
| 3x | 32.33% | 3.09 | 33.00% | 3.03 |
| 5x | 19.40% | 5.15 | 19.80% | 5.05 |
| 10x | 9.70% | 10.3 | 9.90% | 10.1 |
| 20x | 4.85% | 20.6 | 4.95% | 20.2 |
| 50x | 1.94% | 51.5 | 1.98% | 50.5 |
| 100x | 0.970% | 103 | 0.990% | 101 |
| 500x | 0.194% | 515 | 0.198% | 505 |
| 1,000x | 0.097% | 1,031 | 0.099% | 1,010 |
Dry spells
The chance of no hit at target x across N rounds is (1 − p)^N:
| Target (97%) | None in 50 rounds | None in 100 | None in 300 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10x | 0.6% | 0.004% | ≈0% |
| 50x | 37.5% | 14.1% | 0.3% |
| 100x | 61.4% | 37.7% | 5.4% |
Use the calculator below for any other target, or read Chasing High Multipliers.
Every row has its own strategy guide: the Aviator 1.2x strategy, Aviator 2x strategy, Aviator 5x strategy and Aviator 10x strategy. To see how real streaks fit the table, read reading Aviator round history.
Auto cash out win chance calculator
- Win chance
- 48,5%
- Long-run return per R 50,00 bet
- -R 1,50
- Win rate needed to break even
- 50,0%
Common targets (3,0%)
| Target | Win chance | About 1 in | Long-run return per R 50,00 bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1,20x | 80,8% | 1,24 | -R 1,50 |
| 1,50x | 64,7% | 1,55 | -R 1,50 |
| 2,00x | 48,5% | 2,06 | -R 1,50 |
| 3,00x | 32,3% | 3,09 | -R 1,50 |
| 5,00x | 19,4% | 5,15 | -R 1,50 |
| 10,00x | 9,70% | 10 | -R 1,50 |
| 100x | 0,97% | 103 | -R 1,50 |
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds of hitting 2x in a crash game?
About 48.5% at 97% RTP and 49.5% at 99% RTP.
What are the odds of 1,000x?
About 0.097% per round at 97% RTP, roughly 1 in 1,031.
By Daniel Foster · Crash Game Maths & Mechanics Analyst
Daniel focuses on the mathematics and mechanics behind crash games. His reviews examine RTP disclosures, volatility, multipliers, game mechanics and the mathematical principles behind different crash titles.
Published · Updated
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